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The Lowdown

Our last Lowdown before a Labour government?

2024 will be a record-breaking year for elections. Election years are typically good years for stocks: the S&P 500 alone has generated an average return of 7% during presidential election years since 1952. CIO Peter Lowman brings you what could end up being his last Lowdown before the next government.
Peter Lowman
June 25, 2024
5 min read
The Lowdown

Inflation has resumed its downward path

Last week saw the release of the much-anticipated US Consumer Price Index report for April. Broadly speaking, the news is positive: inflation has resumed its downward path following a string of hotter-than-expected reports.
Peter Lowman
May 21, 2024
8 min read
The Lowdown

Geopolitical uncertainty and buying opportunities

The UK stock market hit a record high this week, as shares were lifted by an easing of geopolitical tensions. The FTSE 100 index of blue-chip stocks listed in London hit 8076 points, surpassing a previous high of 8,047 in February 2023. And yet… the picture is decidedly nuanced.
Peter Lowman
April 23, 2024
6 min read
The Lowdown

How will the rise in crude oil prices impact the markets?

Potential interest rate cuts are on the horizon in the UK, following a steady rate of 5.25%. On the other side of the world, Japan's central bank has increased borrowing costs, marking the end of negative interest rates globally. These pivotal changes pose pressing questions for what’s next for the current bull market.
Peter Lowman
March 26, 2024
7 min read
The Lowdown

Recession, Inflation and Political Strategies

Almost nobody is surprised to learn that the UK is now officially in recession. So all eyes are now on the Bank of England, wondering when it is going to cut interest rates and ease pressure on households amid the cost-of-living crisis.
Peter Lowman
February 20, 2024
6 min read
The Lowdown

Wall Street and Red Sea disruption

Wall Street has recovered well after a setback earlier this month. Too well? Are things overheating? Major shipping companies have stopped using the Red Sea through which almost 15% of global seaborne trade usually passes. How will this disruption impact inflation?
Peter Lowman
January 23, 2024
4 min read